After spending too much time watching movies recently, I am ready to make my judgements and predictions.
Milk is easily the best movie on the list. I honestly think that if it doesn't win, it will be a result of some (possibly subconscious) homophobia. It is better than anything else, and therefore my pick and prediction. Slumdog seems to be a favorite. It is also the second best movie on that list, but I'm still sticking with Harvey Milk.
Actor: Richard Jenkins, The Visitor; Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon; Sean Penn, Milk; Brad Pitt, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button; Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler.
I did see all these movies, and I am surprised by the nomination for Jenkins. I believe Mickey Rourke deserves this award.
Actress: Anne Hathaway, Rachel Getting Married; Angelina Jolie, Changeling; Melissa Leo, Frozen River; Meryl Streep, Doubt; Kate Winslet, The Reader.
This one is tough. I haven't seen Rachel Getting Married, but I don't think Hathaway has much of a chance, either. Meryl Streep was awesome in Doubt, but I don't think she'll bring home the award. Surprisingly, I want Angelina Jolie to win. I was skeptical of her acting in the past, but she makes Changeling a great film. I think she will and hope she wins the award.
Supporting Actor: Josh Brolin, Milk; Robert Downey Jr., Tropic Thunder; Philip Seymour Hoffman, Doubt; Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight; Michael Shannon, Revolutionary Road.
This one is tough. Downey Jr, Hoffman, and Ledger all deliver incredible performances. While I would think it would be funny if Downey Jr won because he performance was impressive AND hilarious, I think Ledger should and will posthumously with the award.
Supporting Actress: Amy Adams, Doubt; Penelope Cruz, Vicky Cristina Barcelona; Viola Davis, Doubt; Taraji P. Henson, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button; Marisa Tomei, The Wrestler.
I have no prediction on who I think will win this award. I want Viola Davis to win, but her role was quite small, and I don't know if the judges will deem it effective enough to win.
Director: David Fincher, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button; Ron Howard, Frost/Nixon; Gus Van Sant, Milk; Stephen Daldry, The Reader; Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire.
I've always been a fan of David Fincher, so I really do want him to win this. I think Danny Boyle will win, and he's also a great director, so I like that pick too.
Foreign Film: The Baader Meinhof Complex, Germany; The Class, France; Departures, Japan; Revanche, Austria; Waltz With Bashir, Israel.
I haven't seen any of these. Still, I pick The Class to win. If not that, then Waltz with Bashir.
Adapted Screenplay: Eric Roth and Robin Swicord, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button; John Patrick Shanley, Doubt; Peter Morgan, Frost/Nixon; David Hare, The Reader; Simon Beaufoy, Slumdog Millionaire.
This one is hard, because I don't know exactly how they pick the winner. Benjamin Button was a short story, Frost/Nixon and Doubt were plays, and the other two were novels. Still, if I am going on the best adaptation from the story into a successful film, I want Benjamin Button to win. I think, however, the writers for Slumdog will walk away with the award.
Original Screenplay: Courtney Hunt, Frozen River; Mike Leigh, Happy-Go-Lucky; Martin McDonagh, In Bruges; Dustin Lance Black, Milk; Andrew Stanton, Jim Reardon and Pete Docter, WALL-E.
I really want WALL-E to win. Seriously, the story that they told with almost no dialogue...genius.
Animated Feature Film: Bolt, Kung Fu Panda, WALL-E.
Bolt and Kung Fu Panda have no chance, at all.
Art Direction: Changeling, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button, The Dark Knight, The Duchess, Revolutionary Road.
I want Benjamin Button to win this. Both that and Changeling have stellar art direction, particularly in showing the time with sets and costumes.
Cinematography: Changeling, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button, The Dark Knight, The Reader, Slumdog Millionaire.
I want Doubt to win this, and it's not even nominated! Seriously, Deakins did an awesome job with Doubt, and I am surprised he didn't get a nod. The Dark Knight will probably win this because of Nolan's use of IMAX and a single filming unit for the entire film.
Sound Mixing: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button, The Dark Knight, Slumdog Millionaire, WALL-E, Wanted.
WALL-E, again, should win this. The robots talked, I mean, come one.
Man on Wire is easily the best documentary made in 2008.
(I skip a few catergories that I don't have much of an opinion on)
Makeup: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button, The Dark Knight, Hellboy II: The Golden Army.
Benjamin Button should totally win this, although the other two films did also have great makeup.
2 comments:
My picks for relevant categories (I haven't seen all the movies, but here are my choices):
Best Picture: Slumdog Millionaire
Best Actor: Mickey Rourke
Best Actress: Anne Hathaway
Supporting Actor: Heath Ledger
Supporting Actress: Taraji P. Henson
Director: Gus Van Sant
Adapted Screenplay: Frost/Nixon
Original Screenplay: Happy-Go-Lucky
did it already happen? who won?
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